© 2007 European Society for Medical Oncology
editorial |
clairvoyance or reliable prediction of the future?
1 Department of Thoracic Oncology, Netherlands Cancer Institute
2 Department of Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
* E-mail: n.v.zandwijk{at}nki.nl
The first reports showing that the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) is expressed in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) appeared two decades ago [1]. This has led to many attempts to interact with EGFR signaling, but it was not until some 4 years ago that the first positive experiences with gefitinib and erlotinib in patients with recurrent NSCLC were reported [24].
Treatment with both of these small molecules, that inhibit the tyrosine kinase domain of the EGFR (EGFR TKIs), has been marked by favorable clinical responses in distinct groups of NSCLC patients. Clearly never smokers, patients from Asian origin, patients with adenocarcinoma or bronchioloalveolar carcinoma and female gender experienced the greatest benefit from treatment with EGFR TKIs and these observations made by different groups of investigators [37] have induced intensive research efforts to identify biomarkers, that may predict which patient will favorably respond to this type of medication.
Three years ago EGFR mutations were discovered in patients with dramatic responses to EGFR TKIs [810]. These mutations in the EGFR kinase domain are generally referred to as activating mutations since they appear to result in enhanced kinase activity of the receptor, thereby providing an explanation for increased responsiveness to EGFR TKIs [11]. Shortly thereafter, amplification of wild-type EGFR and alterations in other ErbB family members were also reported to be associated with responses to EGFR TKIs [12, 13]. It is important to note that all these observations were done in retrospect in selected groups of patients and thus confirmatory and preferably prospective studies are needed. Furthermore, a separation between the prognostic and predictive importance of markers is considered important [14]. Prognostic markers ideally predict survival independent from the treatment administered, while predictive markers forecast tumor shrinkage and/or prolonged survival due to a specific treatment.
The interpretation of the literature is becoming difficult if we consider the inevitable constraints of biomarker studies. The most important issue is the availability of representative tumor material. Representative tumor material from the two large randomized studies evaluating erlotinib and gefitinib (BR 21 and the ISEL) could be retrieved in a minority of cases only [15, 16]. Also the outcome of laboratory tests must be carefully weighted. This is especially true for DNA-based tests, including PCR-based tests, where the relative proportion of tumor cells and normal cells will influence the outcome. The presence of mutations in the EGFR domain are usually assessed after PCR amplification of DNA isolated from the tumor and the divergent results reported might be attributable to low quantities of representative tumor material, which is a reality with biopsies taken through the bronchoscope. For the determination of EGFR overexpression and gene amplification, various techniques are available including immunohistochemistry (IHC), FISH and quantitative PCR. Divergent results obtained by these techniques might also be related to differences in methodology. It still remains to be determined what the exact frequency is of high-level EGFR gene amplification, low-level EGFR gene amplification and the association of these amplification events with increased expression of EGFR protein. In addition, it remains to be established to what extent the combination of EGFR mutations with EGFR amplification/overexpression affects response to TKI therapy.
In this issue, Dziadziuszko et al. [17] of the University of Colorado Cancer Center add an important piece of information to the relationship between EGFR gene copy number and EGFR IHC and the outcome after chemotherapy treatment of NSCLC patients. Increased EGFR copy numbers were associated with increased expression of EGFR protein; but neither was associated with response to chemotherapy or survival. Together with the reports revealing a correlation between EGFR copy number and IHC and EGFR TKI response, this result is forming the argument to consider EGFR copy number and IHC as specific predictors of the outcome of treatment with EGFR TKIs.
Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that EGFR copy numbers and overexpression are predictive markers for response to EGFR TKIs? The results obtained by (retrospectively) analyzing tumor material from patients treated in randomized studies may appear convincing, but in a strict sense a marker may only bear the epithet predictive after having shown that its presence or level is being followed by what was assumed by the prediction, i.e. a significantly different outcome in a prospective setting. In that sense EGFR mutations, although being correlated with prognosis too, seem to be quite accurate in predicting a response to gefitinib and erlotinib. In a phase II study from Japan, objective (complete + partial) response to gefitinib was predicted in 75% by EGFR mutation, and mutation- positive Spanish patients had an objective response to erlotinib in 82% while a 85% response rate was seen in a single-institution mutation-positive series from The Netherlands [1820]. Mature survival data of these series is not available yet but it seems unlikely that response duration will be far different from that observed in patients with mutations discovered retrospectively. A salient point of the last two studies is that exon 19 deletions are associated with higher response rates and longer disease-free intervals. Other prospective trials aiming to confirm the predictive value of EGFR mutations are still ongoing (Target trial, PI: T. Lynch) and it is obvious that similar prospective approaches with IHC and/or increased EGFR gene copy number are awaited with great interest. If these additional studies would reveal that increased EGFR copy numbers are responsible for the EGFR TKI-responsive cases lacking EGFR mutations or mainly target a NSCLC population with prolonged stabilization of disease when receiving EGFR TKIs, a significant step forward is being made and new tools for making individualized therapy choices are within reach.
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