Annals of Oncology Advance Access originally published online on May 4, 2006
Annals of Oncology 2006 17(7):1065-1071; doi:10.1093/annonc/mdl047
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© 2006 European Society for Medical Oncology
Fifteen-year results of a randomized phase III trial of fenretinide to prevent second breast cancer
1 European Institute of Oncology, Milan, Italy; 2 Istituto Nazionale per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, Milan, Italy; 3 E.O. Ospedali Galliera, Genoa, Italy; 4 Fondazione S. Maugeri, Pavia, Italy; 5 Institute of Medical Statistics and Biometry, University of Milan, Italy; 6 Department of Pharmacology, Dartmouth Medical School, Hanover, NH, USA
* Correspondence to: Prof. U. Veronesi, Scientific Director, European Institute of Oncology, Via G. Ripamonti, 435 20141 Milan, Italy. Tel: +39 02 57489221; Fax: +39 02 57489210; E-mail: umberto.veronesi{at}ieo.it
| Abstract |
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Purpose: The synthetic retinoid fenretinide administered for 5 years for prevention of second breast cancer showed no difference after a median of 8 years, but a possible reduction in premenopausal women. We conducted a long-term analysis in a subgroup of women who were regularly followed up in a single center.
Patients and methods: We analyzed data after a median follow-up of 14.6 years (IQ range, 12.316.3 years) from 1739 women aged 3070 (872 in the fenretinide arm and 867 in the observation arm), representing 60% of the initial cohort of 2867 women. The main efficacy endpoint was second primary breast cancer (contralateral or ipsilateral).
Results: The number of second breast cancers was 168 in the fenretinide arm and 190 in the control arm (hazard ratio = 0.83, 95% CI, 0.671.03). There were 83 events in the fenretinide arm and 126 in the observation arm in premenopausal women (HR = 0.62, 95% CI, 0.460.83), and 85 and 64 events in postmenopausal women (HR = 1.23, 95% CI, 0.632.40). The younger were the women, the greater was the risk reduction associated with fenretinide, which attained 50% in women aged 40 years or younger and disappeared after age 55 (P-age*treatment interaction = 0.023). There was no difference in cancers in other organs, distant metastases or survival.
Conclusions: Fenretinide induces a significant risk reduction of second breast cancer in premenopausal women, which is remarkable at younger ages, and persists several years after treatment cessation. Since adverse events are limited, a trial in young women at high-risk is warranted.
Key words: breast neoplasms, chemoprevention, fenretinide, clinical trial
| introduction |
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Cancer chemoprevention is the use of natural or synthetic agents to reverse or inhibit carcinogenesis at the preclinical stage [1
In March 1987, we initiated a phase-III trial to assess the efficacy of a 5-year treatment with fenretinide in reducing contralateral or second ipsilateral breast cancer in patients aged 3070 years with early breast cancer, who had received no systemic treatment after primary treatment. A total of 2867 assessable patients completed the intervention period by July 1998. The main results of the study after 8 years showed no difference in contralateral or ipsilateral breast cancer, but a post-hoc analysis suggested a significant treatment interaction with menopausal status (or age), with a 35% reduction in premenopausal women (or women <50 years) and an opposite trend in postmenopausal women (or women >50 years) [10
].
Here we present an updated analysis after a median of nearly 15 years in the subgroup of 1739 women who continued a regular clinical follow-up at the coordinating center.
| patients and methods |
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patients and treatment
A detailed description of the study design and results has been reported previously [10
Women were randomly assigned to receive either no treatment (observation) or fenretinide (R.W. Johnson PRI, Springhouse, PA), given orally at a dose of 200 mg/day for 5 years (two capsules at dinner). Since fenretinide treatment is associated with decreased plasma retinol levels [13
], a monthly 3-day drug interruption was introduced to minimize diminished adaptation to darkness. Despite some obvious limitations, the use of placebo was not considered appropriate by the IRB because of the large capsule size and the long treatment duration. Treatment compliance by pill count was very high (median value 98%) and stable over time [10
]. Serial measurements of plasma fenretinide, its main metabolite N-(4-methoxyphenyl) retinamide, and retinol levels were also obtained to ensure treatment compliance, using the methods previously described [13
].
Until completion of the seventh year, when the primary endpoint was assessed, all patients underwent a biannual visit, including clinical examination and blood tests, a mammography and chest X-rays every year and a bone scan every 18 months, as previously described [14
]. All tests were blinded to the allocated treatment arm.
follow-up continuation
Upon completion of the seventh year, only the 1739 participants followed at the coordinating center, Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, could regularly be followed-up with the same clinical procedures until the tenth year and every 12 months thereafter. Subjects who had a recurrence were followed every 6 months. The Milan subgroup represents 60% of the whole study population. Information on the remaining 40% participants varied from site to site mainly because of budget limitations and was obtained irregularly until the tenth year. An effort to update disease status and survival from the majority of these subjects is underway.
study endpoints
The primary endpoint of the original study was contralateral breast cancer, and the co-primary endpoint was ipsilateral breast cancer reappearance, be it a recurrence in the same quadrant or a second primary cancer in different quadrants from the original tumor. The occurrence of distant metastasis and death were recorded, but they were not considered to be endpoints for efficacy inasmuch as fenretinide was not thought to be active on breast cancer dissemination.
statistical analysis
In the current analysis, the main efficacy endpoint comprised all second breast cancers regardless of breast origin, i.e., the sum of contralateral and ipsilateral breast cancers. This pooled analysis has recently been reported to assess the effect of tamoxifen after primary treatment of DCIS [15
]. All events were included in the analysis, regardless of treatment duration and compliance levels, according to the intention-to-treat principle. The time to occurrence of a second breast cancer was computed from the date of randomization to the date when the diagnosis of the event was firstly made. Observations were censored at the time of second primary cancer in organs other than the breast, progression to distant sites, death without evidence of disease, whichever occurred first, or the date of the last follow-up assessment for the women who were event-free. Crude cumulative hazards curves of second breast cancer were estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method for descriptive purposes, and unadjusted comparisons between the curves were based on the log-rank test.
The Cox model was used to compare the hazard rates between arms while adjusting for the factors known to influence second breast cancer risk, i.e., menopausal status at randomization (pre versus post), type of surgery (quadrantectomy versus radical mastectomy), pT (
2 cm versus >2 cm) and histology (lobular versus other). The treatment effect was also investigated by menopausal status, as reported in the original publication [10
]. While this analysis was post-hoc, several pieces of evidence provided a plausible rationale for a different effect of fenretinide according to menopausal status or age, including the effect on circulating insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) and its main binding protein IGFBP-3 [16
]. The effect of the patient's current age on second breast cancers was also investigated by fitting a logistic model with the number of events within each year of the woman's age as the dependent variable (0 = no event; 1 = contralateral and/or ipsilateral breast cancer), and the corresponding age period as the predictor, through a four-knot-restricted cubic spline [17
].
| results |
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The current analysis was performed in January 2005 after a median observation of 14.6 years (interquartile range, 12.216.2). The main characteristics of the 1739 subjects of the present analysis are shown in Table 1. Compared with the original cohort, the current series showed a higher proportion of women who underwent breast conserving surgery (73.5% versus 62.6%) and entered the trial within a year from surgery (56.8% versus 49.1%). Mean ± SD (years) age was 51 ± 7.6 in the fenretinide arm and 51 ± 7.8 in the observation arm. Premenopausal and postmenopausal patients were equally represented.
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second breast cancers
Table 2 shows the number of second breast cancer events in the two treatment arms by site (contralateral or ipsilateral breast cancer) and menopausal status. Overall, there were 168 events in the fenretinide arm versus 190 events in the control arm, accounting for a 17%, borderline statistically significant reduction in the retinoid arm (HR = 0.83, 95% CI, 0.671.03). When the analysis was stratified by menopausal status, the number of second breast cancers was 83 in the fenretinide arm versus 126 in the control arm in premenopausal women (HR = 0.62, 95% CI, 0.460.83), and 85 versus 64 in postmenopausal women (HR = 1.23, 95% CI, 0.632.40).
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Figure 1 illustrates the cumulative hazard curves for all second breast cancer events (contralateral breast cancer and ipsilateral breast cancer) by treatment allocated arm. Compared with the observation arm, fenretinide showed a trend to a lower number of second breast neoplasms, which persists up to 15 years. The cumulative hazard curves for all types of second breast cancer stratified by menopausal status are shown in Figure 2. Fenretinide induced clear-cut reduction of second breast cancer compared with no treatment, with a durable benefit up to 15 years, i.e., well beyond the 5-year intervention period. Conversely, an opposite, albeit non-significant, trend was noted in postmenopausal women. As expected, the rate of events in the observation arm was much higher in premenopausal women than in postmenopausal women.
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The cumulative hazard curves split for contralateral breast cancer and ipsilateral breast cancer are shown in Figure 3. In premenopausal women, fenretinide treatment exhibited a clear-cut reduction of both events compared with no treatment, which persisted up to 15 years, whereas an opposite, albeit unstable, trend was noted in postmenopausal women on both outcome measures.
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The incidence (annual rate) of contralateral and ipsilateral breast cancers according to the participant's age by allocated arm is illustrated in Figure 4. The younger were the women, the greater was the effect of fenretinide, which tended to disappear after the age of 55 (Wald-P for age*treatment interaction = 0.023). At age 35, the model predicted a mean annual rate of 5.7% in the control arm versus 2.8% in the fenretinide arm, resulting in a 51% risk reduction. At age 40, the mean rate was 4.4% versus 2.3%, a 48% risk reduction.
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distant metastases
A total of 254 of the 1739 evaluable patients developed distant metastases, without differences between arms: 129 events on fenretinide versus 125 on observation. Two patients also accounted for contralateral breast cancer on fenretinide, and one patient also accounted for ipsilateral breast cancer on observation. No difference was detected by menopausal status either (data not shown).
new primary tumors other than breast
The number of second primary tumors in organs other than the breast was 50 in the fenretinide arm and 52 in the control arm, without remarkable differences by site (Table 3). The highest number was observed in the lung and the ovary. Although there was a similar number of lung cancers in the fenretinide arm (n = 9, eight of which occurred after treatment completion) and the control group (n = 7), there were five cases of small cell lung cancers on fenretinide and only 1 case on observation. The overall incidence of ovarian cancer was similar in the two groups. As previously reported [18
], however, all ovarian cancers in the fenretinide arm occurred after treatment completion.
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overall mortality
No difference was observed in all-cause mortality between arms. Out of 872 evaluable patients in the fenretinide group, 705 are alive (81%) and 167 are dead (19%), versus 702 (81%) and 165 (19%) of 867 evaluable patients in the control group.
| discussion |
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The aim of this trial was to determine the efficacy of fenretinide in reducing second breast cancer incidence, be it contralateral or ipsilateral, in women with early breast cancer. Because reduction of second breast cancer is a surrogate marker of primary prevention [19
The results of the present analysis in the subgroup of 1739 participants who were regularly followed-up for up to 15 years in a single center indicate that fenretinide induced a 17%, durable reduction of second breast cancer incidence, which approached statistical significance. Moreover, when the analysis was stratified by menopausal status, there was a 38%, statistically significant reduction of second breast cancers in premenopausal women. Importantly, the protective effect persisted for up to 15 years, i.e., 10 years after retinoid cessation. Most notably, the younger were the women, the greater was the benefit of fenretinide, which was associated with a remarkable 50% risk reduction in women aged 40 years or younger, whereas the benefit disappeared after age 55.
Admittedly, our results are limited to a subject subgroup followed in a single center, representing 60% of the original cohort. The subgroup differed slightly from the original cohort as proportionally more women underwent breast conserving surgery and were enrolled within a year from surgery. However, these factors, which are associated with a higher rate of ipsilateral breast cancer and distant metastases, were evenly balanced between arms and were accounted for in the multivariate analysis. Moreover, randomization was stratified by center, and no significant heterogeneity across centers was evident in the initial results [10
]. Finally, one strength of the current study is that all women underwent a regular clinical follow-up with uniform procedures in a single center. It is therefore likely that the current results would not change in the whole study population.
The current analysis confirms and further extends the notion that the protective effect of fenretinide occurs exclusively in premenopausal women or women aged 55 or younger. Importantly, this subgroup analysis had not been foreseen when the study was planned. While there are plausible biological explanations for this selective effect, our findings are hypothesis-generating and do not have practical clinical implications, but provide the rationale for a new trial in young women at high-risk for breast cancer.
One explanation for the different effects of fenretinide according to menopausal status or age is a different modulation of circulating IGF-I in premenopausal and postmenopausal women, with a reduction of IGF-I levels only in premenopausal subjects [16
]. Since there is an association between high circulating IGF-I or low IGFBP-3 levels and risk of second breast cancer [20
], the modulation of the IGF system may at least in part explain the selective effect of fenretinide in premenopausal women. However, a validation study showed that the changes of these biomarkers explained only a limited proportion of the clinical effect of fenretinide [20
].
Interestingly, the different effect of fenretinide according to age recalls the effect of first full term pregnancy on breast cancer risk, which is protective at a young age and deleterious at an older age. In animals, this protection can be mimicked by short-term exposure to physiological doses of estrogen and progesterone [21
], with p53 and TGF-ß as potential mediators of this protective effect [22
]. Using a whole organ culture system, fenretinide, at variance with natural retinoids, worked additively with ovarian hormones to induce apoptosis in ductal epithelial cells in response to DNA damage caused by gamma-radiation. This effect, which was partially dependent on p53 and TGF-ß, suggests a sensitizing effect of steroid hormones on fenretinide-induced apoptosis [23
]. Thus, fenretinide might enhance the protective or deleterious effects of hormones on breast carcinogenesis depending on the stage (age) of the breast gland development. In mice, fenretinide suppressed spontaneous mammary tumors in 2-month-old nulliparous mice, whereas it was not effective in 46-month-old multiparous mice [24
]. Likewise, the efficacy of retinoids on mammary carcinogenesis in the rat was inversely related to the delay of carcinogen administration [25
]. Therefore, age is a key issue for the effect of fenretinide on mammary tumor development. Because aging is associated with impaired p53 activity in the mammary gland, thus rendering it more susceptible to cumulative DNA damage and cancer, a retinoid intervention early in life may potentiate the protective effect of hormones on mammary gland carcinogenesis whereas a late intervention might even promote it.
An important finding of the present study is the persistence of fenretinide efficacy at 15 years, i.e., 10 years after completion of the retinoid intervention, which suggests the attainment of drug-induced apoptosis in the breast epithelial gland. Apoptosis is the main mechanism of in vitro cell growth inhibition induced by fenretinide through different mechanisms, including ceramide production and induction of reactive oxygen species, mostly at concentrations >5 µM [26
]. While the plasma concentration attained with 200 mg/day is approximately 1 µM, a selective drug accumulation in the breast with adequate inhibitory and apoptotic concentrations has been described in clinical studies [7
, 27
]. Mammary glands from fenretinide-fed rats showed a dose-dependent decrease in ductal branching and end-bud proliferation relative to control glands [5
, 28
]. Similarly to the mammary gland of fenretinide-treated rats, the protective effect of fenretinide in young, premenopausal women might be due to a reduction of breast cells at-risk for transformation. Another possible factor accounting for the age-dependent activity of fenretinide may be a hormone mediated mechanism. In the rat, particularly at young age, fenretinide decreases circulating estradiol and particularly progesterone levels [28
]. Unfortunately, in our study we have not measured circulating hormone levels in premenopausal women, so a direct hormonal effect cannot be excluded.
In contrast to tamoxifen, which inhibits only ER-positive tumors [19
], fenretinide induces apoptosis both in ER-positive and in ER-negative breast cancer cell lines, although it is more effective in ER positive cells [29
]. Interestingly, we have previously shown that fenretinide reduced second tumors in premenopausal women irrespective of the hormone receptor expression of the primary cancer [30
], providing the rationale for a combination intervention with a SERM. A biomarker trial of fenretinide and low-dose tamoxifen in premenopausal women at high risk is currently underway [31
].
When considering the protective activity of fenretinide on second breast cancer in young women and a similar trend on ovarian cancer, at least during intervention [18
], it appears that women with germline BRCA-1 and 2 mutations should be ideal candidates for further investigation of this retinoid. Indeed, fenretinide was highly-effective in inhibiting the growth of BRCA-1 mutated breast cancer cell lines [32
].
Although a precise assessment of adverse events is hampered by the lack of placebo, our previous reports showed that the toxicity of fenretinide is manageable, with a nearly 20% cumulative incidence of diminished dark-adaptation and dermatological disorders, mostly of mild grade, as the most frequent adverse events, and only a 4.4% drop-out rate [33
]. Like other retinoids, fenretinide may be teratogenic, although available studies show no genotoxic effects in vitro and in vivo [34
, 35
], and a lack of storage in the human embryo [36
]. Thus, appropriate measures of contraception should be adopted when treating potentially fertile women. This potential toxicity remains an important issue when planning a future trial in young women at high risk.
In conclusion, the 15-year analysis of the Milan subgroup of the phase III trial of fenretinide shows a 17%, borderline significant reduction of second breast cancer associated with the retinoid. Most importantly, the risk reduction is of the order of 50% in women aged 40 or younger, and persists for 10 years after retinoid cessation. As side effects are limited, fenretinide should be investigated further for prevention of breast cancer in young women at high-risk.
| Acknowledgements |
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This study was supported by US NCI grant number CA-72286, a contract from the Italian Foundation for Cancer Research, and grants from the Italian Association for Cancer Research (1068/2005) and the American Italian Cancer Foundation.
We thank Maria Grazia Villardita for her contribution in editing the manuscript.
Received for publication February 7, 2006. Accepted for publication February 9, 2006.
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