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Annals of Oncology 13:1460-1468, 2002
© 2002 European Society for Medical Oncology


Original Paper

Prognostic factors of survival and rapid progression in 782 patients with metastatic renal carcinomas treated by cytokines: a report from the Groupe Français d’Immunothérapie

S. Négrier1,+, B. Escudier2, F. Gomez1, J.-Y. Douillard3, A. Ravaud4, C. Chevreau5, M. Buclon1, D. Pérol1 and C. Lasset1,§

1 Departments of Biostatistics and Medicine, Centre Léon Bérard, Lyon; 2 Department of Medicine, Institut Gustave Roussy, Villejuif; 3 Department of Medicine, Centre René Gauducheau, Nantes; 4 Department of Medicine, Institut Bergonié, Bordeaux; 5 Department of Medicine, Centre Claudius Regaud, Toulouse, France

Received 19 November 2001; revised 2 April 2002; accepted 11 April 2002

Interleukin-2 (IL-2) or/and interferon (IFN) are routinely used for treating patients with metastatic renal cell cancer. However, results have been disappointing, with a majority of treatment failure. Over 6 years, the Groupe Français d’Immunothérapie enrolled 782 patients in successive multicenter trials using cytokine regimens. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed on this large prospective database to identify prognostic factors for survival. The presence of biological signs of inflammation, short time interval from renal tumor to metastases (<1 year), elevated neutrophil counts, liver metastases, bone metastases, patient performance status (PS), the number of metastatic sites, alkaline phosphatases and hemoglobin levels were predictive of survival outcome. When compared with previous results, our study showed that PS, number of metastatic sites, disease-free interval, biological signs of inflammation and hemoglobin levels can be considered as validated prognostic factors. We also identified four independent factors predictive of rapid progression under cytokine treatment: presence of hepatic metastases, short interval from renal tumor to metastases (<1 year), more than one metastatic site and elevated neutrophil counts. Patients who combined at least three of these factors have >80% probability of rapid progression despite treatment. We think that these results must be taken into account when making the decision to treat with cytokine.

Key words: interferon, interleukin-2, metastatic renal carcinoma, prognostic factor, rapid progression, survival


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